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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

21%

Arouca

4.76

24%

Draw

4.09

55%

SC Braga

1.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Arouca xG

Total xG

2.81

1.78

SC Braga xG

21%
24%
55%
AroucaDrawSC Braga

4.76

21%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

1.83

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

17%

Arouca

5.96

36%

SC Braga

2.79

Win to Nil

4%

Arouca

28.35

20%

SC Braga

5.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 10.7 9.6 5.7 2.5 0.9
1 6.2 11.0 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.2 5.7 5.0 3.0 1.3 0.5
3 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.027
λ Away (xG) 1.785
Total xG 2.812
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.299
Arouca attack strength 0.849
Arouca defence strength 1.267
SC Braga attack strength 1.085
SC Braga defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45