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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

15%

Alverca

6.84

23%

Draw

4.38

63%

Sporting CP

1.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

13.1%

Away win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.71

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.47

1.76

Sporting CP xG

15%
23%
63%
AlvercaDrawSporting CP

6.84

15%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

1.60

63%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

17%

Alverca

5.81

49%

Sporting CP

2.04

Win to Nil

3%

Alverca

39.73

31%

Sporting CP

3.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 14.9 13.1 7.7 3.4 1.2
1 6.0 10.6 9.3 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 2.1 3.8 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3
3 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.711
λ Away (xG) 1.760
Total xG 2.471
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.136
Alverca attack strength 0.657
Alverca defence strength 1.052
Sporting CP attack strength 1.473
Sporting CP defence strength 0.733
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 59