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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

20:30

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

24%

Alverca

4.18

29%

Draw

3.39

47%

Famalicao

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.15

1.30

Famalicao xG

24%
29%
47%
AlvercaDrawFamalicao

4.18

24%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

27%

Alverca

3.66

43%

Famalicao

2.33

Win to Nil

7%

Alverca

15.29

20%

Famalicao

5.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 15.2 9.8 4.3 1.4 0.4
1 9.9 12.9 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.2 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.848
λ Away (xG) 1.297
Total xG 2.145
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.274
Alverca attack strength 0.709
Alverca defence strength 1.204
Famalicao attack strength 0.846
Famalicao defence strength 0.831
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 50