Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alverca Win

51%

Alverca

1.96

24%

Draw

4.09

24%

AVS

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.85

1.12

AVS xG

51%
24%
24%
AlvercaDrawAVS

1.96

51%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

33%

Alverca

3.07

18%

AVS

5.61

Win to Nil

17%

Alverca

6.01

4%

AVS

22.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.2 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.724
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.846
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 1.183
Alverca attack strength 0.745
Alverca defence strength 1.117
AVS attack strength 0.849
AVS defence strength 1.522
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 58