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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Zagłębia Lubin

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cracovia Krakow Win

35%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.84

26%

Draw

3.85

39%

Cracovia Krakow

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.71

1.40

Cracovia Krakow xG

35%
26%
39%
Zaglebie LubinDrawCracovia Krakow

2.84

35%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

25%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.03

27%

Cracovia Krakow

3.74

Win to Nil

9%

Zaglebie Lubin

11.44

10%

Cracovia Krakow

9.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 9.2 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 8.7 12.2 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.0 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.5 3.5 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.319
λ Away (xG) 1.395
Total xG 2.714
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.878
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.137
Cracovia Krakow attack strength 0.987
Cracovia Krakow defence strength 0.958
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67