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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

13:45

Venue

Orlen Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

29%

Wisla Plock

3.48

33%

Draw

3.05

38%

Motor Lublin

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Wisla Plock xG

Total xG

2.22

1.21

Motor Lublin xG

29%
33%
38%
Wisla PlockDrawMotor Lublin

3.48

29%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

30%

Wisla Plock

3.35

36%

Motor Lublin

2.76

Win to Nil

9%

Wisla Plock

11.64

14%

Motor Lublin

7.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 11.0 13.3 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.6 6.7 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 1.209
Total xG 2.224
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.091
Wisla Plock attack strength 0.610
Wisla Plock defence strength 1.059
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.047
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.149
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65