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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Widzew Łódź Win

38%

Widzew Łódź

2.61

28%

Draw

3.58

34%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Widzew Łódź xG

Total xG

2.47

1.19

Zaglebie Lubin xG

38%
28%
34%
Widzew ŁódźDrawZaglebie Lubin

2.61

38%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

31%

Widzew Łódź

3.27

28%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.61

Win to Nil

12%

Widzew Łódź

8.53

9%

Zaglebie Lubin

10.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 10.0 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.9 12.9 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.283
λ Away (xG) 1.186
Total xG 2.469
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.427
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.868
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.940
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.884
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.980
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34