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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

20%

Stal Mielec

4.89

30%

Draw

3.36

50%

Raków Częstochowa

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.68

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

1.93

1.25

Raków Częstochowa xG

20%
30%
50%
Stal MielecDrawRaków Częstochowa

4.89

20%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

29%

Stal Mielec

3.47

50%

Raków Częstochowa

1.98

Win to Nil

6%

Stal Mielec

17.00

25%

Raków Częstochowa

3.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 18.1 11.3 4.7 1.5 0.4
1 9.9 12.4 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.684
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 1.929
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.245
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.766
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.037
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.964
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.594
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64