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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

31%

Stal Mielec

3.20

27%

Draw

3.72

42%

Radomiak Radom

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

2.49

1.35

Radomiak Radom xG

31%
27%
42%
Stal MielecDrawRadomiak Radom

3.20

31%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

26%

Stal Mielec

3.88

32%

Radomiak Radom

3.10

Win to Nil

8%

Stal Mielec

12.41

14%

Radomiak Radom

7.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 11.3 7.6 3.5 1.2 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.3 7.2 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.355
Total xG 2.486
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.260
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.718
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.089
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.987
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66