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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cracovia Krakow Win

33%

Stal Mielec

3.00

23%

Draw

4.28

43%

Cracovia Krakow

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

3.18

1.70

Cracovia Krakow xG

33%
23%
43%
Stal MielecDrawCracovia Krakow

3.00

33%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

18%

Stal Mielec

5.50

23%

Cracovia Krakow

4.36

Win to Nil

6%

Stal Mielec

16.47

10%

Cracovia Krakow

10.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 7.1 6.1 3.4 1.5 0.5
1 6.1 10.5 8.9 5.1 2.2 0.7
2 4.5 7.7 6.6 3.7 1.6 0.5
3 2.2 3.8 3.2 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.472
λ Away (xG) 1.704
Total xG 3.176
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.199
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.891
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.252
Cracovia Krakow attack strength 1.134
Cracovia Krakow defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60