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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

13:45

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

49%

Raków Częstochowa

2.03

29%

Draw

3.46

22%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.61

1.01

Zaglebie Lubin xG

49%
29%
22%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawZaglebie Lubin

2.03

49%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

4.57

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

36%

Raków Częstochowa

2.74

20%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.97

Win to Nil

18%

Raków Częstochowa

5.56

4%

Zaglebie Lubin

22.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.4 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.9 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.603
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 2.611
League avg home goals 1.651
League avg away goals 1.193
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.873
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.978
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.864
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.112
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51