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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

16:30

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

40%

Raków Częstochowa

2.49

34%

Draw

2.90

25%

Pogon Szczecin

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

1.90

0.81

Pogon Szczecin xG

40%
34%
25%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawPogon Szczecin

2.49

40%

Home win

2.90

34%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

44%

Raków Częstochowa

2.25

34%

Pogon Szczecin

2.97

Win to Nil

18%

Raków Częstochowa

5.61

9%

Pogon Szczecin

11.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 12.2 4.9 1.3 0.3
1 16.3 13.2 5.4 1.4 0.3
2 8.9 7.2 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.087
λ Away (xG) 0.811
Total xG 1.898
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.765
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.802
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.871
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57