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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

43%

Raków Częstochowa

2.32

32%

Draw

3.13

25%

Nieciecza

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.29

0.96

Nieciecza xG

43%
32%
25%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawNieciecza

2.32

43%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

38%

Raków Częstochowa

2.61

27%

Nieciecza

3.77

Win to Nil

16%

Raków Częstochowa

6.08

7%

Nieciecza

15.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.5 12.9 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 8.6 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.327
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.288
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.161
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.762
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.876
Nieciecza attack strength 0.944
Nieciecza defence strength 1.229
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 21