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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

19:15

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

36%

Raków Częstochowa

2.76

27%

Draw

3.74

37%

Legia Warszawa

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.55

1.28

Legia Warszawa xG

36%
27%
37%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawLegia Warszawa

2.76

36%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

28%

Raków Częstochowa

3.61

28%

Legia Warszawa

3.54

Win to Nil

10%

Raków Częstochowa

9.97

10%

Legia Warszawa

9.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.0 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.9 12.7 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.0 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.264
λ Away (xG) 1.283
Total xG 2.547
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.155
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.891
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.037
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.071
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40