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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 8 May 2026

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

52%

Raków Częstochowa

1.94

27%

Draw

3.69

21%

Korona Kielce

4.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.58

0.96

Korona Kielce xG

52%
27%
21%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawKorona Kielce

1.94

52%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

4.69

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

38%

Raków Częstochowa

2.61

20%

Korona Kielce

5.04

Win to Nil

20%

Raków Częstochowa

5.07

4%

Korona Kielce

23.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.3 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.3 11.8 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.617
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.578
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.096
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.059
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.876
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.002
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65