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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Radomiaka

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

51%

Radomiak Radom

1.96

25%

Draw

4.04

24%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.90

1.14

Zaglebie Lubin xG

51%
25%
24%
Radomiak RadomDrawZaglebie Lubin

1.96

51%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

32%

Radomiak Radom

3.14

17%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.78

Win to Nil

16%

Radomiak Radom

6.14

4%

Zaglebie Lubin

23.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.3 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.7 11.1 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.7 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.755
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 2.898
League avg home goals 1.561
League avg away goals 1.220
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.154
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.941
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.995
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43