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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Radomiaka

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

36%

Radomiak Radom

2.78

24%

Draw

4.15

40%

Pogon Szczecin

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

3.14

1.61

Pogon Szczecin xG

36%
24%
40%
Radomiak RadomDrawPogon Szczecin

2.78

36%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

20%

Radomiak Radom

5.02

22%

Pogon Szczecin

4.59

Win to Nil

7%

Radomiak Radom

13.93

9%

Pogon Szczecin

11.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.0 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.4
1 6.6 10.7 8.6 4.6 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.1 6.6 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.6 4.1 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.524
λ Away (xG) 1.613
Total xG 3.137
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.257
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.950
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.006
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.276
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64