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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Radomiaka

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

60%

Radomiak Radom

1.66

23%

Draw

4.40

17%

Motor Lublin

5.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.68

0.86

Motor Lublin xG

60%
23%
17%
Radomiak RadomDrawMotor Lublin

1.66

60%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

5.86

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

42%

Radomiak Radom

2.35

16%

Motor Lublin

6.22

Win to Nil

26%

Radomiak Radom

3.91

3%

Motor Lublin

36.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.5 10.7 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.0 6.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 3.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.828
λ Away (xG) 0.856
Total xG 2.684
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.973
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.895
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.769
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33