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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Radomiaka

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

51%

Radomiak Radom

1.96

23%

Draw

4.31

26%

Lechia Gdansk

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

3.01

1.21

Lechia Gdansk xG

51%
23%
26%
Radomiak RadomDrawLechia Gdansk

1.96

51%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

30%

Radomiak Radom

3.37

17%

Lechia Gdansk

6.00

Win to Nil

15%

Radomiak Radom

6.61

4%

Lechia Gdansk

23.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.0 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 8.9 10.8 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.7 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.792
λ Away (xG) 1.214
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.186
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.019
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.003
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.021
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.289
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24