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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

19%

Puszcza Niepołomice

5.16

26%

Draw

3.79

54%

Raków Częstochowa

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

0 – 2

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

Total xG

2.25

1.49

Raków Częstochowa xG

19%
26%
54%
Puszcza NiepołomiceDrawRaków Częstochowa

5.16

19%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

23%

Puszcza Niepołomice

4.41

46%

Raków Częstochowa

2.16

Win to Nil

4%

Puszcza Niepołomice

22.78

25%

Raków Częstochowa

3.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 15.6 11.6 5.7 2.1 0.6
1 8.1 12.0 8.9 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 3.1 4.6 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.768
λ Away (xG) 1.485
Total xG 2.253
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.167
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.919
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 1.095
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.162
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.575
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60