Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Puszcza Niepołomice Win

42%

Puszcza Niepołomice

2.38

24%

Draw

4.10

34%

Radomiak Radom

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

Total xG

2.96

1.38

Radomiak Radom xG

42%
24%
34%
Puszcza NiepołomiceDrawRadomiak Radom

2.38

42%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

25%

Puszcza Niepołomice

3.98

21%

Radomiak Radom

4.83

Win to Nil

11%

Puszcza Niepołomice

9.47

7%

Radomiak Radom

14.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.2 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.2 11.3 7.8 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.9 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 1.382
Total xG 2.957
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.198
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.946
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 1.043
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.106
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62