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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

42%

Pogon Szczecin

2.40

28%

Draw

3.56

30%

Widzew Łódź

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.81

1.28

Widzew Łódź xG

42%
28%
30%
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Łódź

2.40

42%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

28%

Pogon Szczecin

3.59

22%

Widzew Łódź

4.63

Win to Nil

12%

Pogon Szczecin

8.59

7%

Widzew Łódź

15.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.7 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 11.8 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.0 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.6 4.6 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.533
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 2.810
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.185
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.122
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.041
Widzew Łódź attack strength 1.035
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56