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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

68%

Pogon Szczecin

1.47

17%

Draw

5.84

15%

Radomiak Radom

6.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.6%

Home win

4 – 1

5.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.99

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

4.44

1.45

Radomiak Radom xG

68%
17%
15%
Pogon SzczecinDrawRadomiak Radom

1.47

68%

Home win

5.84

17%

Draw

6.67

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

94%

Over 1.5

1.06

6%

Under 1.5

16.67

82%

Over 2.5

1.22

18%

Under 2.5

5.56

65%

Over 3.5

1.54

35%

Under 3.5

2.86

46%

Over 4.5

2.17

54%

Under 4.5

1.85

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.36

26%

BTTS No

3.77

Clean Sheet

24%

Pogon Szczecin

4.25

5%

Radomiak Radom

19.87

Win to Nil

16%

Pogon Szczecin

6.26

1%

Radomiak Radom

132.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
1 3.5 5.1 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
2 5.3 7.7 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 5.3 7.6 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 3.9 5.7 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 2.4 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.989
λ Away (xG) 1.447
Total xG 4.436
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.214
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.364
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.124
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.061
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.334
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51