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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

47%

Pogon Szczecin

2.14

26%

Draw

3.88

27%

Piast Gliwice

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.82

1.19

Piast Gliwice xG

47%
26%
27%
Pogon SzczecinDrawPiast Gliwice

2.14

47%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

30%

Pogon Szczecin

3.29

20%

Piast Gliwice

5.08

Win to Nil

14%

Pogon Szczecin

7.03

5%

Piast Gliwice

18.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.1 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.7 11.6 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.3 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.625
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.817
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.194
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.228
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.244
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.802
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 42