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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

64%

Pogon Szczecin

1.56

18%

Draw

5.56

18%

Nieciecza

5.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.6%

Home win

1 – 1

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.59

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.92

1.34

Nieciecza xG

64%
18%
18%
Pogon SzczecinDrawNieciecza

1.56

64%

Home win

5.56

18%

Draw

5.58

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.17

Clean Sheet

26%

Pogon Szczecin

3.82

8%

Nieciecza

13.28

Win to Nil

17%

Pogon Szczecin

5.95

1%

Nieciecza

74.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 5.1 6.8 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
2 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 5.7 7.6 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 3.7 4.9 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.9 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.586
λ Away (xG) 1.339
Total xG 3.925
League avg home goals 1.577
League avg away goals 1.241
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.268
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.111
Nieciecza attack strength 0.971
Nieciecza defence strength 1.294
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19