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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

34%

Pogon Szczecin

2.96

32%

Draw

3.15

34%

Lech Poznan

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.08

1.05

Lech Poznan xG

34%
32%
34%
Pogon SzczecinDrawLech Poznan

2.96

34%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

35%

Pogon Szczecin

2.85

36%

Lech Poznan

2.81

Win to Nil

12%

Pogon Szczecin

8.45

12%

Lech Poznan

8.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 13.1 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 12.9 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 6.7 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.033
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.081
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.087
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.963
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.041
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.926
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.750
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62