Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 16 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

41%

Pogon Szczecin

2.46

30%

Draw

3.34

29%

Korona Kielce

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.41

1.09

Korona Kielce xG

41%
30%
29%
Pogon SzczecinDrawKorona Kielce

2.46

41%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Pogon Szczecin

2.97

27%

Korona Kielce

3.74

Win to Nil

14%

Pogon Szczecin

7.31

8%

Korona Kielce

12.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 12.9 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 8.5 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.320
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.408
League avg home goals 1.388
League avg away goals 1.161
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.084
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.932
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.005
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.878
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58