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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cracovia Krakow Win

36%

Pogon Szczecin

2.79

28%

Draw

3.58

36%

Cracovia Krakow

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.36

1.18

Cracovia Krakow xG

36%
28%
36%
Pogon SzczecinDrawCracovia Krakow

2.79

36%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

31%

Pogon Szczecin

3.26

31%

Cracovia Krakow

3.24

Win to Nil

11%

Pogon Szczecin

9.09

11%

Cracovia Krakow

8.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.2 6.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.1 13.2 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.5 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.6 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.176
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.358
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.184
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.999
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.941
Cracovia Krakow attack strength 1.061
Cracovia Krakow defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58