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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

73%

Pogon Szczecin

1.36

18%

Draw

5.68

9%

Arka Gdynia

11.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.52

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.33

0.81

Arka Gdynia xG

73%
18%
Pogon SzczecinDrawArka Gdynia

1.36

73%

Home win

5.68

18%

Draw

11.15

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

44%

Pogon Szczecin

2.25

8%

Arka Gdynia

12.39

Win to Nil

33%

Pogon Szczecin

3.07

1%

Arka Gdynia

138.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.0 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 11.3 9.2 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 9.5 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 6.0 4.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
5 3.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.517
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 3.330
League avg home goals 1.444
League avg away goals 1.199
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.197
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.103
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.615
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.456
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 19