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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

38%

Piast Gliwice

2.61

28%

Draw

3.54

33%

Raków Częstochowa

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.72

1.31

Raków Częstochowa xG

38%
28%
33%
Piast GliwiceDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.61

38%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

27%

Piast Gliwice

3.69

24%

Raków Częstochowa

4.10

Win to Nil

10%

Piast Gliwice

9.63

8%

Raków Częstochowa

12.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.3 12.2 7.9 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 1.306
Total xG 2.718
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.130
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.968
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.998
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.159
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.054
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66