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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

21%

Piast Gliwice

4.84

26%

Draw

3.80

53%

Pogon Szczecin

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.31

1.49

Pogon Szczecin xG

21%
26%
53%
Piast GliwiceDrawPogon Szczecin

4.84

21%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

23%

Piast Gliwice

4.43

44%

Pogon Szczecin

2.27

Win to Nil

5%

Piast Gliwice

21.43

23%

Pogon Szczecin

4.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 14.8 11.0 5.5 2.0 0.6
1 8.1 12.1 9.0 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.3 5.0 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
3 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.820
λ Away (xG) 1.489
Total xG 2.309
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.180
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.727
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.162
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.086
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.757
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61