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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 1 Feb 2026

11:15

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

49%

Motor Lublin

2.04

27%

Draw

3.64

24%

Pogon Szczecin

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.69

1.07

Pogon Szczecin xG

49%
27%
24%
Motor LublinDrawPogon Szczecin

2.04

49%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

34%

Motor Lublin

2.90

20%

Pogon Szczecin

5.06

Win to Nil

17%

Motor Lublin

5.93

5%

Pogon Szczecin

21.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.3 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 11.8 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.622
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.688
League avg home goals 1.577
League avg away goals 1.237
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.939
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.050
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.821
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52