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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

19:15

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

34%

Motor Lublin

2.93

33%

Draw

3.00

32%

Lech Poznan

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.02

0.99

Lech Poznan xG

34%
33%
32%
Motor LublinDrawLech Poznan

2.93

34%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

37%

Motor Lublin

2.70

36%

Lech Poznan

2.79

Win to Nil

13%

Motor Lublin

7.92

12%

Lech Poznan

8.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 13.6 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 7.0 6.9 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.026
λ Away (xG) 0.994
Total xG 2.020
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.115
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.938
Motor Lublin defence strength 0.905
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.985
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.762
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64