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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

13:45

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

48%

Motor Lublin

2.08

32%

Draw

3.14

20%

Cracovia Krakow

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.03

0.74

Cracovia Krakow xG

48%
32%
20%
Motor LublinDrawCracovia Krakow

2.08

48%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

48%

Motor Lublin

2.10

28%

Cracovia Krakow

3.63

Win to Nil

23%

Motor Lublin

4.37

6%

Cracovia Krakow

18.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 9.7 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 16.9 12.5 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.9 8.1 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 4.7 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 0.742
Total xG 2.031
League avg home goals 1.376
League avg away goals 1.094
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.886
Motor Lublin defence strength 0.922
Cracovia Krakow attack strength 0.736
Cracovia Krakow defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66