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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

37%

Legia Warszawa

2.67

30%

Draw

3.30

32%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.38

1.14

Zaglebie Lubin xG

37%
30%
32%
Legia WarszawaDrawZaglebie Lubin

2.67

37%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

32%

Legia Warszawa

3.11

29%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.46

Win to Nil

12%

Legia Warszawa

8.32

9%

Zaglebie Lubin

10.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.6 6.0 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 11.5 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 1.135
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.107
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.869
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.955
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.074
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62