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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

55%

Legia Warszawa

1.81

25%

Draw

4.03

20%

Pogon Szczecin

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.67

0.94

Pogon Szczecin xG

55%
25%
20%
Legia WarszawaDrawPogon Szczecin

1.81

55%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

39%

Legia Warszawa

2.56

18%

Pogon Szczecin

5.62

Win to Nil

22%

Legia Warszawa

4.63

4%

Pogon Szczecin

28.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 12.0 11.3 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.7 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.0 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.667
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.206
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.000
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.796
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.979
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 43