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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

52%

Lechia Gdansk

1.91

24%

Draw

4.17

24%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.30

1.31

Zaglebie Lubin xG

52%
24%
24%
Lechia GdanskDrawZaglebie Lubin

1.91

52%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.70

14%

Zaglebie Lubin

7.34

Win to Nil

14%

Lechia Gdansk

7.07

3%

Zaglebie Lubin

30.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.8 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 7.3 9.6 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.6 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.9 6.4 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.4 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.994
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 3.301
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.151
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.344
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.128
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.007
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55