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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

52%

Lechia Gdansk

1.93

23%

Draw

4.33

25%

Raków Częstochowa

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.44

1.39

Raków Częstochowa xG

52%
23%
25%
Lechia GdanskDrawRaków Częstochowa

1.93

52%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.97

Clean Sheet

25%

Lechia Gdansk

4.03

13%

Raków Częstochowa

7.73

Win to Nil

13%

Lechia Gdansk

7.80

3%

Raków Częstochowa

30.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.6 9.1 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 4.6 6.4 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.045
λ Away (xG) 1.394
Total xG 3.439
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.150
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.317
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.070
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.132
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63