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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 3 Nov 2025

17:00

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

56%

Lechia Gdansk

1.77

21%

Draw

4.80

23%

Radomiak Radom

4.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.41

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.92

1.52

Radomiak Radom xG

56%
21%
23%
Lechia GdanskDrawRadomiak Radom

1.77

56%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

4.41

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.55

Clean Sheet

22%

Lechia Gdansk

4.55

9%

Radomiak Radom

11.10

Win to Nil

12%

Lechia Gdansk

8.06

2%

Radomiak Radom

48.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 4.8 7.2 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 5.7 8.7 6.6 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 4.6 7.0 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 2.8 4.2 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.407
λ Away (xG) 1.516
Total xG 3.923
League avg home goals 1.633
League avg away goals 1.193
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.047
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.106
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.149
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.408
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47