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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

59%

Lechia Gdansk

1.70

23%

Draw

4.42

19%

Pogon Szczecin

5.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.93

1.00

Pogon Szczecin xG

59%
23%
19%
Lechia GdanskDrawPogon Szczecin

1.70

59%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

5.37

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

37%

Lechia Gdansk

2.71

14%

Pogon Szczecin

6.91

Win to Nil

22%

Lechia Gdansk

4.62

3%

Pogon Szczecin

37.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 10.3 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.4 6.4 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.1 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.933
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.128
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.291
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.074
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.824
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59