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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 20 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

56%

Lechia Gdansk

1.79

21%

Draw

4.88

24%

Piast Gliwice

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.79

1.48

Piast Gliwice xG

56%
21%
24%
Lechia GdanskDrawPiast Gliwice

1.79

56%

Home win

4.88

21%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.33

Clean Sheet

23%

Lechia Gdansk

4.40

10%

Piast Gliwice

10.04

Win to Nil

13%

Lechia Gdansk

7.89

2%

Piast Gliwice

42.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
1 5.2 7.7 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 6.0 8.9 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.6 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
4 2.7 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.307
λ Away (xG) 1.481
Total xG 3.788
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.134
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.398
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.121
Piast Gliwice attack strength 1.165
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62