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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

49%

Lechia Gdansk

2.03

26%

Draw

3.81

24%

Legia Warszawa

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.87

1.15

Legia Warszawa xG

49%
26%
24%
Lechia GdanskDrawLegia Warszawa

2.03

49%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

32%

Lechia Gdansk

3.16

18%

Legia Warszawa

5.55

Win to Nil

16%

Lechia Gdansk

6.42

4%

Legia Warszawa

22.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.6 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.8 11.2 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.6 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.8 5.5 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.713
λ Away (xG) 1.152
Total xG 2.865
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.151
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.252
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.086
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.921
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66