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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

11:15

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

38%

Lechia Gdansk

2.64

29%

Draw

3.44

33%

Korona Kielce

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.27

1.08

Korona Kielce xG

38%
29%
33%
Lechia GdanskDrawKorona Kielce

2.64

38%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

34%

Lechia Gdansk

2.96

31%

Korona Kielce

3.27

Win to Nil

13%

Lechia Gdansk

7.80

10%

Korona Kielce

9.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 11.2 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 13.3 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.3 7.9 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 1.085
Total xG 2.270
League avg home goals 1.530
League avg away goals 1.249
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.897
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.073
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.810
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.863
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65