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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

35%

Lechia Gdansk

2.90

29%

Draw

3.44

36%

Jagiellonia

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.67

1.36

Jagiellonia xG

35%
29%
36%
Lechia GdanskDrawJagiellonia

2.90

35%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

26%

Lechia Gdansk

3.89

27%

Jagiellonia

3.73

Win to Nil

9%

Lechia Gdansk

11.27

10%

Jagiellonia

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 9.1 12.3 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 6.0 8.1 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.6 3.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.316
λ Away (xG) 1.358
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.438
League avg away goals 1.175
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.159
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.179
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.980
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56