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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 10 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

42%

Korona Kielce

2.39

30%

Draw

3.37

28%

Jagiellonia

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.42

1.07

Jagiellonia xG

42%
30%
28%
Korona KielceDrawJagiellonia

2.39

42%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Korona Kielce

2.92

26%

Jagiellonia

3.85

Win to Nil

14%

Korona Kielce

6.96

7%

Jagiellonia

13.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 12.8 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.1 8.7 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.349
λ Away (xG) 1.070
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.078
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.018
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.076
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.922
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61