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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

37%

Jagiellonia

2.67

27%

Draw

3.68

35%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.90

1.43

Zaglebie Lubin xG

37%
27%
35%
JagielloniaDrawZaglebie Lubin

2.67

37%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

24%

Jagiellonia

4.17

23%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.38

Win to Nil

9%

Jagiellonia

11.13

8%

Zaglebie Lubin

12.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.8 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.1 11.6 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.5 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 2.9 4.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.476
λ Away (xG) 1.428
Total xG 2.904
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.175
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.182
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.174
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.035
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67