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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

19:15

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

56%

Jagiellonia

1.79

24%

Draw

4.22

21%

Wisla Plock

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.85

1.03

Wisla Plock xG

56%
24%
21%
JagielloniaDrawWisla Plock

1.79

56%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

36%

Jagiellonia

2.79

16%

Wisla Plock

6.23

Win to Nil

20%

Jagiellonia

5.00

3%

Wisla Plock

30.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 5.9 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 10.8 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 6.0 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.829
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.855
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.128
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.227
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.108
Wisla Plock attack strength 0.821
Wisla Plock defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25