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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

13:45

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

48%

Jagiellonia

2.07

26%

Draw

3.86

26%

Radomiak Radom

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.89

1.19

Radomiak Radom xG

48%
26%
26%
JagielloniaDrawRadomiak Radom

2.07

48%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

30%

Jagiellonia

3.29

18%

Radomiak Radom

5.45

Win to Nil

15%

Jagiellonia

6.83

5%

Radomiak Radom

21.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.4 11.3 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.5 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.4 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.888
League avg home goals 1.403
League avg away goals 1.159
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.218
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.113
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.924
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52