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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

13:45

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

51%

Jagiellonia

1.96

24%

Draw

4.24

25%

Piast Gliwice

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.39

1.38

Piast Gliwice xG

51%
24%
25%
JagielloniaDrawPiast Gliwice

1.96

51%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

25%

Jagiellonia

3.99

13%

Piast Gliwice

7.45

Win to Nil

13%

Jagiellonia

7.81

3%

Piast Gliwice

29.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.5 6.3 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 1.383
Total xG 3.391
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.173
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.292
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.060
Piast Gliwice attack strength 1.112
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 58