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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

53%

Jagiellonia

1.90

24%

Draw

4.16

23%

Motor Lublin

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.11

1.21

Motor Lublin xG

53%
24%
23%
JagielloniaDrawMotor Lublin

1.90

53%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

30%

Jagiellonia

3.36

15%

Motor Lublin

6.65

Win to Nil

16%

Jagiellonia

6.39

4%

Motor Lublin

28.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.4 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.5 10.3 6.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.1 6.2 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.895
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.566
League avg away goals 1.245
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.187
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.021
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.953
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53